Don't leave your business future to chance. Optimize sales, inventory, and marketing strategies with advanced AI algorithms.
Your past sales and future demand on a single chart — actuals to the left of the today line, model output + confidence interval to the right.
Ready capabilities for your FMCG operations
Excel'i bırakın, kararı veriye verin. Sistem yüklemeden tahmine, anomaliden aksiyon listesine kadar süreci tek panelde yönetir.
Upload your GK (14 sheets) or MK (26 sheets) Excel file via drag-and-drop. The system auto-detects sheet types, filters invalid rows, and stores per workspace.
Moving Average, Linear Regression, Weighted Seasonal, Multivariate Ridge, and Ensemble — 5 models run in parallel; the best is selected per product via MAPE backtest.
Anomaly scores, ROP / EOQ recommendations, scenario simulations, and comparative reports drive decisions to operations; alerts flow automatically via Slack/email integration.
Designed from an FMCG perspective: GK and MK channels, multi-chain channel-based sales, campaign effects, seasonality, holiday effects — all included.
5 different models produce forecasts for the next 3-6-12 months. MAPE backtest auto-selects the best model per product; accuracy is reported via hold-out validation.
Sudden sales drops, zero-sales continuity, and trend breaks are scored. Root-cause analysis separates demand, campaign, or stockout.
Optimum order quantity and service level per SKU using Safety Stock, ROP, and EOQ formulas. Delivered to the team as an action list.
Price increases, discounts, campaign budgets — test what-if scenarios without touching real data. See impact on ROI, volume, and profitability instantly.
Slack, Webhook, and email integration. Instant alerts on critical anomalies, threshold breaches, and forecast completion.
Isolated workspaces per brand, region, or business unit. Roles, permissions, and audit log meet enterprise data governance standards.
Two outcomes from the same data: person-dependent chaos or scientific measurability.
On one side: cell formulas and manual control. On the other: parallel output of five ML models + confidence interval. Below is the real-world view of both.
Switch tabs below to inspect live charts powered by real model outputs.
Data shown is illustrative; the system runs on your own data.
5 models + ensemble, best one selected per product. MAPE backtest, confidence interval, downloadable PDF/Excel reports.
Drill-down by brand, category and chain. Trend, seasonality, campaign impact in a single panel.
Safety Stock, ROP, EOQ formulas. Daily automatic action list with service levels (95/97/99%).
Numbers from our test data, models from academic literature, results reproducible. No advertising, no embellished customer quotes.
5 models are validated in parallel per product via hold-out. In the best quartile of the test set (Q1 MAPE), accuracy exceeds 85%; continuous improvement expands this segment.
Moving Average, Linear Regression, Weighted Seasonal, Multivariate Ridge and Ensemble — 5 models in parallel + optional Gemini AI prediction.
200+ ürün ve 33K+ forecast kaydı üzerinde gerçek FMCG verisi ile doğrulandı. GK (14 sayfa) ve MK (26 sayfa) Excel formatları, çok-zincirli satışlar tutarlı işlenir; mimari 10K+ SKU'a ölçeklenebilir tasarım.
In the FMCG sector, Excel-based, person-dependent forecasting processes have been a major corporate weakness for years. The departure of a key person makes the process fragile, formula errors push decisions in the wrong direction, and decisive factors like seasonality and campaign impact are left to intuition. Şölen Pusula was designed to close this gap with a scientific and measurable infrastructure.
The system has been actively developed for 12 months. 5 ML models, MAPE-based backtest validation, anomaly detection, ROP/EOQ optimization, and multi-workspace isolation are built end-to-end from architecture to UI. During deployment, every component — from model parameters to reporting flow — can be calibrated to the field via iterative consulting.
New components are added every quarter from the moment of deployment; existing clients receive them automatically. Below is a summary of the last and next three quarters.
The roadmap can be reprioritized based on field-specific requests; planned together during deployment.
For questions you haven't asked yet, write directly to the team — we respond within 24 hours.
Excel'inizi yükleyin, ilk forecast birkaç dakikada elinizin altında. Devreye alma boyunca iteratif danışmanlık modeliyle doğrudan kuruculardan teknik refakat sağlanır.